WOFFORD
TERRIERSWOF
17-9 | Road
89
UNC GREENSBORO
SPARTANSUNCG
11-15 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
SPARTANS
0%
TERRIERS
--
SPARTANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
UNC GREENSBORO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (UNC Greensboro)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCG -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCG)
WOF By 1-7 points
0.0%
WOF By 8-14 points
0.0%
UNCG By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNCG By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Wofford
60
WOFFORD
UNC Greensboro
101
UNC GREENSBORO
Simulated Score
Wofford
69
WOFFORD
UNC Greensboro
72
UNC GREENSBORO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spartans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spartans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spartans (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
Spartans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
UNCG @ WOF
75 - 72
Feb 14, 2026
WOF @ UNCG
89 - 99
Jan 7, 2026
UNCG @ WOF
85 - 97
Feb 1, 2025
WOF @ UNCG
74 - 62
Jan 1, 2025
UNCG @ WOF
68 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+44.3% more
UNC Greensboro: 6.0
vs
Wofford: 4.2
Turnovers (L5)
+21.3% more
UNC Greensboro: 9.7
vs
Wofford: 8.0
Rebounding (L5)
+21.0% more
UNC Greensboro: 36.1
vs
Wofford: 29.9
Assists (L5)
+13.9% more
UNC Greensboro: 14.9
vs
Wofford: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WOF Score
60.0
89
UNCG Score
101.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 35.5
48.0 / 31.0
Assists
14.9 / 13.1
18.0 / 11.0
Blocks
1.9 / 3.2
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 48.2
55.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
72.5 / 76.1
76.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 29.9
27.0 / 38.0
Steals
6.0 / 4.2
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 8.0
3.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
UNCG
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: -1.9
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
UNCG
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.9
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
UNCG
22-10-0
O: 68.8% / U: 31.3%
Total +/-: +7.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCG
WOF
UNCG
WOF
ML
38%
13-21
39%
12-19
71%
24-10
61%
19-12
ATS
44%
15-19
58%
18-13
71%
24-10
61%
19-12
TTL
76%
26-8
65%
20-11
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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