LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
17-8 | Road
52
NEW HAVEN
CHARGERSNHVN
10-15 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
0%
CHARGERS
100%
SHARKS
--
CHARGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
LIU By 1-7 points
24.3%
LIU By 8-14 points
26.8%
NHVN By 1-7 points
12.2%
NHVN By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Long Island University
84
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
New Haven
75
NEW HAVEN
Simulated Score
Long Island University
70
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
New Haven
75
NEW HAVEN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sharks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chargers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sharks (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Chargers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o129.5
Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u129.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
LIU @ NHVN
52 - 55
Feb 5, 2026
NHVN @ LIU
55 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+64.5% more
Long Island University: 5.1
vs
New Haven: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+26.6% more
Long Island University: 8.7
vs
New Haven: 6.4
Rebounding (L5)
+20.9% more
Long Island University: 36.8
vs
New Haven: 29.1
Turnovers (L5)
+11.2% more
Long Island University: 12.3
vs
New Haven: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIU Score
84.0
52
NHVN Score
75.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.8 / 25.6
20.0 / 14.0
Assists
13.2 / 13.6
6.0 / 9.0
Blocks
1.8 / 5.1
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 45.3
33.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
77.3 / 69.0
68.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
29.1 / 36.8
33.0 / 38.0
Steals
6.4 / 8.7
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 12.3
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
NHVN
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
NHVN
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NHVN
LIU
NHVN
LIU
ML
71%
22-9
60%
21-14
68%
21-10
69%
24-11
ATS
74%
23-8
63%
22-13
68%
21-10
69%
24-11
TTL
42%
13-18
60%
21-14
100%
31-0
100%
35-0
