CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
LANCERSCBU
19-6 | Road
65
UTAH TECH
TRAILBLAZERSUTU
15-11 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
100%
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
LANCERS
--
TRAILBLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
UTAH TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Utah Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTU)
CBU By 1-7 points
4.0%
CBU By 8-14 points
0.8%
UTU By 1-7 points
13.7%
UTU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
California Baptist
62
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Utah Tech
78
UTAH TECH
Simulated Score
California Baptist
68
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Utah Tech
76
UTAH TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trailblazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trailblazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trailblazers (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Trailblazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
UTU @ CBU
72 - 86
Feb 14, 2026
CBU @ UTU
65 - 70
Jan 21, 2026
UTU @ CBU
64 - 73
Jan 8, 2026
UTU @ CBU
72 - 84
Mar 1, 2025
CBU @ UTU
61 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+91.6% more
Utah Tech: 8.2
vs
California Baptist: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+35.4% more
Utah Tech: 13.4
vs
California Baptist: 9.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.4%
Utah Tech: 50.4%
vs
California Baptist: 42.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Utah Tech: 42.6%
vs
California Baptist: 39.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBU Score
62.0
65
UTU Score
78.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.6 / 39.1
47.0 / 34.0
Assists
13.4 / 9.9
16.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.3
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 42.0
43.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
64.4 / 73.2
65.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 41.8
42.0 / 49.0
Steals
8.2 / 4.3
2.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 11.1
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CBU
Advantage
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +1.5
UTU
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CBU
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +1.5
UTU
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7%
Total +/-: -4.1
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTU
CBU
UTU
CBU
ML
68%
23-11
50%
17-17
62%
21-13
76%
25-8
ATS
65%
22-12
53%
18-16
62%
21-13
76%
25-8
TTL
65%
22-12
47%
16-18
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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