VCU
RAMSVCU
19-6 | Road
78
RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
14-11 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
SPIDERS
100%
RAMS
--
SPIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
RICHMOND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RICH +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICH)
VCU By 1-7 points
26.2%
VCU By 8-14 points
25.3%
RICH By 1-7 points
15.3%
RICH By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
VCU
66
VCU
Richmond
59
RICHMOND
Simulated Score
VCU
65
VCU
Richmond
69
RICHMOND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spiders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spiders (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
Spiders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
VCU @ RICH
78 - 67
Jan 27, 2026
RICH @ VCU
69 - 77
Feb 25, 2025
VCU @ RICH
78 - 60
Feb 1, 2025
RICH @ VCU
49 - 90
Mar 2, 2024
VCU @ RICH
76 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+68.4% more
VCU: 6.2
vs
Richmond: 2.0
Rebounding (L5)
+26.9% more
VCU: 39.5
vs
Richmond: 28.9
Turnovers (L5)
+11.0% more
VCU: 11.7
vs
Richmond: 10.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
VCU: 46.9%
vs
Richmond: 44.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VCU Score
66.0
78
RICH Score
59.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 37.1
23.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.7 / 13.8
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.0 / 6.2
0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 46.9
35.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
80.4 / 69.6
89.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
28.9 / 39.5
32.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.5
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 11.7
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
RICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VCU
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
RICH
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICH
VCU
RICH
VCU
ML
53%
17-15
72%
26-10
56%
18-14
67%
22-11
ATS
44%
14-18
81%
29-7
56%
18-14
67%
22-11
TTL
56%
18-14
58%
21-15
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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