GEORGIA
BULLDOGSUGA
17-7 | Road
78
OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
12-12 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
SOONERS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
SOONERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Oklahoma)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
UGA By 1-7 points
4.0%
UGA By 8-14 points
0.8%
OU By 1-7 points
13.7%
OU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia
77
GEORGIA
Oklahoma
93
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
Georgia
70
GEORGIA
Oklahoma
75
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sooners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sooners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sooners (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Sooners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o164.5
Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
UGA @ OU
78 - 94
Mar 12, 2025
OU @ UGA
81 - 75
Jan 11, 2025
OU @ UGA
62 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.1%
Oklahoma: 77.4%
vs
Georgia: 70.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Oklahoma: 37.3%
vs
Georgia: 31.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Oklahoma: 46.8%
vs
Georgia: 42.3%
Blocks (L5)
+48.0% more
Georgia: 3.6
vs
Oklahoma: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UGA Score
77.0
78
OU Score
93.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 31.4
56.0 / 29.0
Assists
12.4 / 11.7
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
1.9 / 3.6
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 42.3
59.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 70.2
64.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
30.0 / 35.0
29.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.7 / 7.7
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 10.9
7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UGA
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UGA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
OU
Advantage
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.9
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
UGA
OU
UGA
ML
78%
28-8
67%
22-11
59%
20-14
56%
18-14
ATS
72%
26-10
61%
20-13
59%
20-14
56%
18-14
TTL
75%
27-9
64%
21-12
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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