Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pride @ Seahawks HOF @ UNCW

HOFSTRA

PRIDEHOF

17-9  |  Road

66
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 4:00 PM ET
Trask Coliseum
View Odds Details →

UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

21-4  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
100%
📊
SEAHAWKS
0%
PRIDE --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
UNC WILMINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (UNC Wilmington)
PrideHOF (-3.5) 0 SeahawksUNCW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pride Cover

0.1%

Seahawks Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCW -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCW)

HOF By 1-7 points

0.1%

HOF By 8-14 points

0.0%

UNCW By 1-7 points

1.1%

UNCW By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
57
HOFSTRA
87
UNC WILMINGTON
Simulated Score
76
HOFSTRA
70
UNC WILMINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pride Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Seahawks (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Pride (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o138.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 HOF @ UNCW 66 - 70
Jan 11, 2025 UNCW @ HOF 63 - 66
Feb 29, 2024 HOF @ UNCW 69 - 58
Mar 6, 2023 UNCW @ HOF 79 - 73
Jan 19, 2023 UNCW @ HOF 46 - 70
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.4%
UNC Wilmington: 39.1% vs Hofstra: 33.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
UNC Wilmington: 45.6% vs Hofstra: 40.7%
Blocks (L5) +72.8% more
Hofstra: 5.4 vs UNC Wilmington: 1.5
Rebounding (L5) +14.4% more
Hofstra: 42.9 vs UNC Wilmington: 36.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOF Score 57.0 66
UNCW Score 87.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.1 / 33.7 29.0 / 38.0
Assists 14.0 / 13.3 10.0 / 6.0
Blocks 1.5 / 5.4 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 40.7 46.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 61.7 / 74.0 61.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 42.9 36.0 / 34.0
Steals 4.6 / 4.6 3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 10.6 6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
32%MONEY68%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
UNCW
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +0.2
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCW
HOF
UNCW
HOF
ML
64% 21-12
77% 27-8
52% 17-16
71% 25-10
ATS
58% 19-14
83% 29-6
52% 17-16
71% 25-10
TTL
61% 20-13
51% 18-17
100% 33-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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