FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
13-12 | Road
70
RHODE ISLAND
RAMSURI
14-10 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
RAMS
100%
RAMS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Fordham)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FOR -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)
FOR By 1-7 points
0.0%
FOR By 8-14 points
0.4%
URI By 1-7 points
0.0%
URI By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Fordham
102
FORDHAM
Rhode Island
61
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
Fordham
67
FORDHAM
Rhode Island
75
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rams (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o133.5
Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
URI @ FOR
49 - 61
Feb 14, 2026
FOR @ URI
70 - 66
Mar 12, 2025
FOR @ URI
88 - 71
Mar 8, 2025
FOR @ URI
67 - 86
Feb 5, 2025
URI @ FOR
79 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.0% more
Fordham: 13.4
vs
Rhode Island: 11.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.8%
Fordham: 75.6%
vs
Rhode Island: 66.8%
Rebounding (L5)
+8.7% more
Fordham: 33.8
vs
Rhode Island: 30.9
Blocks (L5)
+28.4% more
Rhode Island: 3.4
vs
Fordham: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FOR Score
102.0
70
URI Score
61.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 28.0
33.0 / 35.0
Assists
11.4 / 13.4
14.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.6
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 41.8
40.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
66.8 / 75.6
62.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 33.8
33.0 / 41.0
Steals
9.2 / 8.3
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 9.9
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FOR
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
URI
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
URI
13-18-1
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
FOR
URI
FOR
ML
62%
20-12
59%
19-13
59%
19-13
59%
19-13
ATS
56%
18-14
59%
19-13
59%
19-13
59%
19-13
TTL
56%
18-14
59%
19-13
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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