NAVY
MIDSHIPMENNAVY
20-6 | Road
84
COLGATE
RAIDERSCOLG
16-10 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
MIDSHIPMEN
100%
RAIDERS
0%
MIDSHIPMEN
--
RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colgate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)
NAVY By 1-7 points
24.3%
NAVY By 8-14 points
13.7%
COLG By 1-7 points
26.2%
COLG By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Navy
85
NAVY
Colgate
86
COLGATE
Simulated Score
Navy
68
NAVY
Colgate
70
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raiders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raiders (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Raiders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
COLG @ NAVY
69 - 85
Feb 14, 2026
NAVY @ COLG
84 - 80
Feb 19, 2025
NAVY @ COLG
75 - 79
Jan 15, 2025
COLG @ NAVY
73 - 66
Feb 3, 2024
NAVY @ COLG
64 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+37.5% more
Navy: 19.0
vs
Colgate: 11.9
Blocks (L5)
+23.3% more
Navy: 4.1
vs
Colgate: 3.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Navy: 51.7%
vs
Colgate: 46.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NAVY Score
85.0
84
COLG Score
86.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 32.7
48.0 / 38.0
Assists
11.9 / 19.0
12.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.1 / 4.1
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 51.7
48.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
75.2 / 73.9
65.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 37.6
34.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.5 / 8.1
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 11.0
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
COLG
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
COLG
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
NAVY
COLG
NAVY
ML
59%
19-13
79%
26-7
69%
22-10
55%
18-15
ATS
72%
23-9
73%
24-9
70%
23-10
55%
18-15
TTL
78%
25-7
73%
24-9
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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