Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Yellow Jackets @ Fighting Irish GT @ ND

GEORGIA TECH

YELLOW JACKETSGT

11-14  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 12:00 PM ET
Purcell Pavilion
View Odds Details →

NOTRE DAME

FIGHTING IRISHND

11-14  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
YELLOW JACKETS
0%
📊
FIGHTING IRISH
100%
YELLOW JACKETS --
FIGHTING IRISH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Yellow JacketsGT (-3.5) 0 Fighting IrishND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yellow Jackets Cover

99.5%

Fighting Irish Cover

0.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GT -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

GT By 1-7 points

2.7%

GT By 8-14 points

9.3%

ND By 1-7 points

0.4%

ND By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
86
GEORGIA TECH
60
NOTRE DAME
Simulated Score
68
GEORGIA TECH
72
NOTRE DAME
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Yellow Jackets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Irish Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Yellow Jackets (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Fighting Irish (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 GT @ ND 74 - 89
Jan 28, 2025 GT @ ND 68 - 71
Dec 31, 2024 ND @ GT 75 - 86
Mar 12, 2024 GT @ ND 80 - 84
Feb 14, 2024 GT @ ND 55 - 58
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Georgia Tech: 41.0% vs Notre Dame: 37.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.1%
Georgia Tech: 62.2% vs Notre Dame: 60.2%
Steals (L5) +15.9% more
Notre Dame: 5.8 vs Georgia Tech: 5.0
Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Notre Dame: 46.2% vs Georgia Tech: 42.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GT Score 86.0 74
ND Score 60.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 41.0 50.0 / 37.0
Assists 13.8 / 14.4 14.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.4 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.2 / 42.7 49.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 60.2 / 62.2 89.0 / 93.0
Rebounding 34.3 / 34.3 36.0 / 23.0
Steals 5.8 / 5.0 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 10.6 13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.2
ND Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.2
ND Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.5
ND
22-9-0
O: 71.0% / U: 29.0% Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ND
GT
ND
GT
ML
65% 20-11
61% 19-12
77% 24-7
63% 19-11
ATS
55% 17-14
55% 17-14
77% 24-7
63% 19-11
TTL
68% 21-10
61% 19-12
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 1 hour, 21 minutes ago
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…
thesunflower 1 hour, 28 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 1 hour, 32 minutes ago
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 7 hours, 28 minutes ago
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
si 7 hours, 37 minutes ago