SOUTH CAROLINA
GAMECOCKSSC
11-13 | Road
75
ALABAMA
CRIMSON TIDEALA
17-7 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
CRIMSON TIDE
0%
GAMECOCKS
--
CRIMSON TIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Alabama)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ALA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ALA)
SC By 1-7 points
23.0%
SC By 8-14 points
12.2%
ALA By 1-7 points
26.8%
ALA By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina
74
SOUTH CAROLINA
Alabama
76
ALABAMA
Simulated Score
South Carolina
72
SOUTH CAROLINA
Alabama
78
ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Crimson Tide
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson Tide
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Crimson Tide (+17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Crimson Tide (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u170.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u170.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
SC @ ALA
75 - 89
Jan 8, 2025
ALA @ SC
88 - 68
Jan 9, 2024
SC @ ALA
47 - 74
Feb 22, 2023
ALA @ SC
78 - 76
Feb 26, 2022
SC @ ALA
71 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+120.3% more
Alabama: 5.1
vs
South Carolina: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+84.7% more
Alabama: 17.7
vs
South Carolina: 9.6
Rebounding (L5)
+34.9% more
Alabama: 39.0
vs
South Carolina: 28.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+16.7%
Alabama: 39.6%
vs
South Carolina: 22.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SC Score
74.0
75
ALA Score
76.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.6 / 22.9
41.0 / 25.0
Assists
17.7 / 9.6
20.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.1 / 2.3
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 38.6
48.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
82.1 / 80.3
70.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
39.0 / 28.9
43.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.7
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 9.0
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
ALA
Advantage
25-10-0
(71.4%)
Margin: 8.5
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
ALA
Advantage
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: 8.5
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +1.6
ALA
17-16-1
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALA
SC
ALA
SC
ML
63%
22-13
72%
23-9
58%
19-14
68%
21-10
ATS
60%
21-14
69%
22-10
58%
19-14
68%
21-10
TTL
63%
22-13
50%
16-16
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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