Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Bluejays VILL @ CREI

VILLANOVA

WILDCATSVILL

19-5  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 2:30 PM ET
CHI Health Center Omaha
View Odds Details →

CREIGHTON

BLUEJAYSCREI

13-12  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
BLUEJAYS
100%
WILDCATS --
BLUEJAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
191.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
WildcatsVILL (-3.5) 0 BluejaysCREI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

46.0%

Bluejays Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CREI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)

VILL By 1-7 points

26.2%

VILL By 8-14 points

16.9%

CREI By 1-7 points

24.3%

CREI By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
96
VILLANOVA
95
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
72
VILLANOVA
74
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bluejays Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bluejays (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Bluejays (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Win
Proj Total: 191.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 VILL @ CREI 80 - 69
Jan 7, 2026 CREI @ VILL 76 - 72
Feb 1, 2025 CREI @ VILL 62 - 60
Dec 21, 2024 VILL @ CREI 79 - 86
Mar 9, 2024 CREI @ VILL 69 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +31.7% more
Villanova: 9.4 vs Creighton: 6.4
Rebounding (L5) +18.9% more
Villanova: 35.0 vs Creighton: 28.4
Blocks (L5) +65.5% more
Creighton: 2.4 vs Villanova: 1.4
Turnovers (L5) +18.4% more
Creighton: 12.8 vs Villanova: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VILL Score 96.0 80
CREI Score 95.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.6 / 36.3 30.0 / 29.0
Assists 15.0 / 16.3 16.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.4 / 1.4 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 43.9 42.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 73.8 / 63.3 58.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 28.4 / 35.0 41.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.4 / 9.4 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 10.8 12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VILL Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
CREI
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VILL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
CREI
11-22-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
VILL
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +1.7
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
VILL
CREI
VILL
ML
52% 17-16
44% 14-18
70% 21-9
72% 23-9
ATS
58% 19-14
56% 18-14
70% 21-9
72% 23-9
TTL
52% 17-16
41% 13-19
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 5 hours, 54 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 5 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days ago
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
yahoo 3 days, 6 hours ago
Arizona's Gio Richardson Exits Cincinnati Game After Brief Retur…
headtopics 4 days, 17 hours ago