Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Hurricane @ Shockers TLSA @ WICH

TULSA

GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA

20-5  |  Road

77
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Charles Koch Arena
View Odds Details →

WICHITA STATE

SHOCKERSWICH

15-10  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN HURRICANE
100%
📊
SHOCKERS
0%
GOLDEN HURRICANE --
SHOCKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
WICHITA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Wichita State)
Golden HurricaneTLSA (-3.5) 0 ShockersWICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Hurricane Cover

0.8%

Shockers Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WICH -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WICH)

TLSA By 1-7 points

0.6%

TLSA By 8-14 points

0.1%

WICH By 1-7 points

4.0%

WICH By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
77
TULSA
101
WICHITA STATE
Simulated Score
68
TULSA
72
WICHITA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Shockers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Shockers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Shockers (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Shockers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o152.5 Win
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 24, 2026 WICH @ TLSA 79 - 83
Mar 14, 2026 TLSA @ WICH 68 - 81
Feb 14, 2026 TLSA @ WICH 77 - 81
Feb 1, 2026 WICH @ TLSA 83 - 93
Mar 9, 2025 TLSA @ WICH 73 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +100.9% more
Wichita State: 9.3 vs Tulsa: 4.6
Blocks (L5) +54.8% more
Wichita State: 4.2 vs Tulsa: 2.7
Free Throw % (L5) +9.4%
Tulsa: 70.3% vs Wichita State: 60.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Tulsa: 34.1% vs Wichita State: 29.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TLSA Score 77.0 77
WICH Score 101.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.3 / 34.1 14.0 / 31.0
Assists 13.4 / 13.1 8.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.2 / 2.7 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.0 / 45.3 50.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 60.9 / 70.3 63.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 39.1 / 39.1 42.0 / 34.0
Steals 9.3 / 4.6 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 12.2 6.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TLSA Advantage
30-8-0 (79.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
WICH
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TLSA
20-15-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
WICH Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +4.8
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WICH
TLSA
WICH
TLSA
ML
61% 22-14
66% 25-13
68% 23-11
64% 23-13
ATS
64% 23-13
74% 28-10
68% 23-11
64% 23-13
TTL
69% 25-11
58% 22-16
100% 34-0
100% 36-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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