MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
DELTA DEVILSMVSU
1-23 | Road
65
ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
13-11 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
DELTA DEVILS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
DELTA DEVILS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
ALABAMA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Alabama A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AAMU -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AAMU)
MVSU By 1-7 points
0.2%
MVSU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AAMU By 1-7 points
1.7%
AAMU By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Mississippi Valley State
53
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Alabama A&M
81
ALABAMA A&M
Simulated Score
Mississippi Valley State
62
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Alabama A&M
70
ALABAMA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (-17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u168.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u168.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
MVSU @ AAMU
65 - 72
Jan 5, 2026
AAMU @ MVSU
71 - 51
Feb 15, 2025
AAMU @ MVSU
82 - 70
Jan 6, 2025
MVSU @ AAMU
67 - 79
Feb 17, 2024
MVSU @ AAMU
57 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+91.8% more
Alabama A&M: 3.5
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+13.0% more
Alabama A&M: 6.9
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 6.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.2%
Alabama A&M: 74.0%
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 62.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.4%
Alabama A&M: 38.1%
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 29.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MVSU Score
53.0
65
AAMU Score
81.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 29.6
29.0 / 60.0
Assists
11.5 / 12.6
9.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.5 / 1.8
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 44.7
48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
74.0 / 62.8
72.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 31.9
31.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.1
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 12.0
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MVSU
3-30-0
(9.1%)
Margin: -18.8
ATS +/-: +0.4
AAMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MVSU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -18.8
ATS +/-: +0.4
AAMU
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.0
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AAMU
MVSU
AAMU
MVSU
ML
55%
16-13
91%
30-3
67%
16-8
75%
18-6
ATS
55%
16-13
82%
27-6
67%
16-8
75%
18-6
TTL
66%
19-10
58%
19-14
100%
24-0
100%
24-0
Contextual Game News
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