AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
PRIVATEERS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Houston Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HCU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HCU)
UNO By 1-7 points
18.6%
UNO By 8-14 points
8.0%
HCU By 1-7 points
27.2%
HCU By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
72
NEW ORLEANS
Houston Christian
77
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
New Orleans
71
NEW ORLEANS
Houston Christian
82
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+22.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
HCU @ UNO
60 - 73
Feb 14, 2026
UNO @ HCU
60 - 61
Dec 6, 2025
HCU @ UNO
85 - 76
Feb 8, 2025
UNO @ HCU
68 - 81
Jan 25, 2025
HCU @ UNO
86 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+8.0% more
Houston Christian: 7.5
vs
New Orleans: 7.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.7%
Houston Christian: 80.3%
vs
New Orleans: 75.6%
Blocks (L5)
+28.1% more
New Orleans: 4.4
vs
Houston Christian: 3.1
Turnovers (L5)
+25.1% more
New Orleans: 17.0
vs
Houston Christian: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNO Score
72.0
60
HCU Score
77.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 30.2
25.0 / 13.0
Assists
12.8 / 13.6
17.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.1 / 4.4
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.1 / 45.4
43.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
80.3 / 75.6
71.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
30.0 / 36.6
30.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.0
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 17.0
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
HCU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
HCU
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HCU
UNO
HCU
UNO
ML
68%
21-10
52%
16-15
81%
25-6
57%
17-13
ATS
58%
18-13
52%
16-15
81%
26-6
57%
17-13
TTL
68%
21-10
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
30-0