Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Cornhuskers NU @ NEB

NORTHWESTERN

WILDCATSNU

10-15  |  Road

49
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 1:00 PM ET
Pinnacle Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

NEBRASKA

CORNHUSKERSNEB

21-3  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
CORNHUSKERS
100%
WILDCATS --
CORNHUSKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-54.0
NORTHWESTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +54.0 points (Northwestern)
WildcatsNU (-3.5) 0 CornhuskersNEB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

100.0%

Cornhuskers Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NU -54.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NU)

NU By 1-7 points

0.0%

NU By 8-14 points

0.0%

NEB By 1-7 points

0.0%

NEB By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
106
NORTHWESTERN
52
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
71
NORTHWESTERN
74
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cornhuskers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wildcats (-13.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -54.0
D
Sim Cornhuskers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 NU @ NEB 49 - 68
Jan 17, 2026 NEB @ NU 77 - 58
Feb 16, 2025 NEB @ NU 68 - 64
Feb 7, 2024 NEB @ NU 68 - 80
Jan 20, 2024 NU @ NEB 69 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +50.0% more
Northwestern: 4.1 vs Nebraska: 2.1
Free Throw % (L5) +2.4%
Northwestern: 80.7% vs Nebraska: 78.3%
Assists (L5) +41.9% more
Nebraska: 19.3 vs Northwestern: 13.6
Steals (L5) +35.3% more
Nebraska: 6.8 vs Northwestern: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NU Score 106.0 49
NEB Score 52.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 33.0 44.0 / 20.0
Assists 19.3 / 13.6 16.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.1 / 4.1 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 41.3 45.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 78.3 / 80.7 75.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 27.8 40.0 / 24.0
Steals 6.8 / 5.0 10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 7.8 18.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NU
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
NEB Advantage
28-7-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NU
16-16-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
NEB Advantage
19-15-1 (55.9%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.0
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
NU
NEB
NU
ML
51% 18-17
47% 16-18
62% 21-13
68% 23-11
ATS
54% 19-16
50% 17-17
62% 21-13
68% 23-11
TTL
63% 22-13
53% 18-16
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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