Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Raiders @ Wildcats TTU @ ARIZ

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

18-6  |  Road

78
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 6:30 PM ET
McKale Memorial Center
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA

WILDCATSARIZ

23-1  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
RED RAIDERS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
RED RAIDERS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Arizona)
Red RaidersTTU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsARIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Raiders Cover

0.0%

Wildcats Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARIZ -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARIZ)

TTU By 1-7 points

0.0%

TTU By 8-14 points

0.0%

ARIZ By 1-7 points

0.1%

ARIZ By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
59
TEXAS TECH
96
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
75
TEXAS TECH
78
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (-9.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 TTU @ ARIZ 78 - 75
Mar 14, 2025 ARIZ @ TTU 86 - 80
Feb 8, 2025 TTU @ ARIZ 73 - 82
Jan 18, 2025 ARIZ @ TTU 54 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +25.4% more
Arizona: 6.0 vs Texas Tech: 4.8
Rebounding (L5) +24.0% more
Arizona: 46.7 vs Texas Tech: 37.6
Steals (L5) +9.5% more
Arizona: 8.5 vs Texas Tech: 7.8
Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Arizona: 49.0% vs Texas Tech: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TTU Score 59.0 78
ARIZ Score 96.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.7 / 42.4 25.0 / 33.0
Assists 15.4 / 16.5 13.0 / 12.0
Blocks 6.0 / 4.8 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.0 / 45.6 39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 66.3 / 72.2 74.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 46.7 / 37.6 41.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.5 / 7.8 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 11.5 7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
ARIZ Advantage
36-3-0 (92.3%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
ARIZ Advantage
23-15-1 (60.5%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARIZ
TTU
ARIZ
TTU
ML
67% 26-13
62% 21-13
68% 23-11
71% 22-9
ATS
74% 29-10
65% 22-12
68% 23-11
71% 22-9
TTL
56% 22-17
59% 20-14
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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