NORTHERN ILLINOIS
HUSKIESNIU
8-15 | Road
46
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
7-17 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
CHIPPEWAS
100%
HUSKIES
--
CHIPPEWAS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CMU +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CMU)
NIU By 1-7 points
26.2%
NIU By 8-14 points
16.9%
CMU By 1-7 points
24.3%
CMU By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Illinois
75
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Central Michigan
74
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Northern Illinois
68
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Central Michigan
72
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chippewas
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Chippewas (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Chippewas (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
NIU @ CMU
46 - 88
Dec 20, 2025
CMU @ NIU
73 - 74
Mar 7, 2025
NIU @ CMU
83 - 81
Jan 18, 2025
CMU @ NIU
71 - 66
Mar 5, 2024
CMU @ NIU
69 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+10.8% more
Northern Illinois: 33.1
vs
Central Michigan: 29.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.5%
Northern Illinois: 68.4%
vs
Central Michigan: 66.0%
Blocks (L5)
+27.9% more
Central Michigan: 3.4
vs
Northern Illinois: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+18.3% more
Central Michigan: 15.6
vs
Northern Illinois: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NIU Score
75.0
46
CMU Score
74.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.5 / 30.9
64.0 / 20.0
Assists
15.6 / 13.1
18.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.6
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
52.3 / 39.3
63.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
66.0 / 68.4
70.0 / 44.0
Rebounding
29.5 / 33.1
38.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.9 / 5.1
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 13.5
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIU
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
CMU
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIU
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
CMU
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -4.8
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CMU
NIU
CMU
NIU
ML
57%
17-13
67%
20-10
70%
21-9
66%
19-10
ATS
67%
20-10
63%
19-11
70%
21-9
66%
19-10
TTL
67%
20-10
67%
20-10
100%
30-0
100%
29-0
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