KENTUCKY
WILDCATSUK
17-7 | Road
83
FLORIDA
GATORSFLA
18-6 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
GATORS
0%
WILDCATS
--
GATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-66.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +66.0 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FLA -66.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
UK By 1-7 points
0.0%
UK By 8-14 points
0.0%
FLA By 1-7 points
0.0%
FLA By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Kentucky
46
KENTUCKY
Florida
112
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Kentucky
72
KENTUCKY
Florida
80
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gators
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gators (-12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -66.0
D
Sim
Gators (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
UK @ FLA
63 - 71
Mar 7, 2026
FLA @ UK
84 - 77
Feb 14, 2026
UK @ FLA
83 - 92
Jan 4, 2025
FLA @ UK
100 - 106
Jan 31, 2024
FLA @ UK
94 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.9% more
Florida: 7.9
vs
Kentucky: 5.8
Rebounding (L5)
+26.1% more
Florida: 44.9
vs
Kentucky: 35.6
Assists (L5)
+22.1% more
Florida: 18.4
vs
Kentucky: 15.1
Turnovers (L5)
+16.3% more
Florida: 10.3
vs
Kentucky: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UK Score
46.0
83
FLA Score
112.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 35.0
36.0 / 45.0
Assists
18.4 / 15.1
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
5.4 / 5.1
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 47.4
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 67.2
69.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 35.6
45.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.9 / 5.8
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 8.9
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UK
22-14-0
(61.1%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
FLA
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UK
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
FLA
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UK
18-18-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
UK
FLA
UK
ML
77%
27-8
71%
25-10
63%
22-13
72%
23-9
ATS
69%
24-11
83%
29-6
63%
22-13
72%
23-9
TTL
63%
22-13
63%
22-13
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
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