STETSON
HATTERSSTET
9-17 | Road
76
FLORIDA GULF COAST
EAGLESFGCU
11-15 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
HATTERS
0%
EAGLES
100%
HATTERS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
STETSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Stetson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STET -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STET)
STET By 1-7 points
18.6%
STET By 8-14 points
26.8%
FGCU By 1-7 points
6.8%
FGCU By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Stetson
72
STETSON
Florida Gulf Coast
59
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Simulated Score
Stetson
68
STETSON
Florida Gulf Coast
72
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hatters
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hatters (-11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
FGCU @ STET
63 - 78
Feb 14, 2026
STET @ FGCU
76 - 78
Feb 20, 2025
FGCU @ STET
83 - 80
Feb 1, 2025
STET @ FGCU
56 - 82
Feb 17, 2024
FGCU @ STET
60 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.0%
Stetson: 70.6%
vs
Florida Gulf Coast: 64.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Stetson: 38.9%
vs
Florida Gulf Coast: 34.9%
Blocks (L5)
+111.0% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 3.7
vs
Stetson: 1.7
Steals (L5)
+24.9% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 7.1
vs
Stetson: 5.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STET Score
72.0
76
FGCU Score
59.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 38.9
41.0 / 47.0
Assists
14.4 / 15.0
18.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.7 / 1.7
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 45.7
48.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
64.6 / 70.6
70.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 32.1
34.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.1 / 5.7
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 10.4
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STET
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
FGCU
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
FGCU
9-22-1
(29.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FGCU
STET
FGCU
STET
ML
58%
19-14
55%
18-15
67%
22-11
73%
24-9
ATS
61%
20-13
64%
21-12
67%
22-11
73%
24-9
TTL
61%
20-13
61%
20-13
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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