WESTERN MICHIGAN
BRONCOSWMU
8-16 | Road
76
EASTERN MICHIGAN
EAGLESEMU
9-16 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
0%
EAGLES
100%
BRONCOS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Western Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WMU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WMU)
WMU By 1-7 points
21.6%
WMU By 8-14 points
27.4%
EMU By 1-7 points
9.3%
EMU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Michigan
76
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Eastern Michigan
65
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Western Michigan
75
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Eastern Michigan
63
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Broncos
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Broncos (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Broncos (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
WMU @ EMU
76 - 62
Jan 10, 2026
EMU @ WMU
62 - 79
Feb 1, 2025
EMU @ WMU
54 - 61
Feb 27, 2024
WMU @ EMU
67 - 70
Jan 23, 2024
EMU @ WMU
56 - 73
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Western Michigan: 36.4%
vs
Eastern Michigan: 31.6%
Blocks (L5)
+47.5% more
Eastern Michigan: 3.9
vs
Western Michigan: 2.6
Steals (L5)
+42.0% more
Eastern Michigan: 6.0
vs
Western Michigan: 4.2
Turnovers (L5)
+23.5% more
Eastern Michigan: 12.0
vs
Western Michigan: 9.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WMU Score
76.0
76
EMU Score
65.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 36.4
43.0 / 56.0
Assists
11.3 / 10.8
13.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.6
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 42.1
41.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
74.7 / 73.9
56.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 33.4
29.0 / 45.0
Steals
6.0 / 4.2
1.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 9.7
8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
EMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WMU
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
EMU
Advantage
20-10-0
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +1.3
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
WMU
EMU
WMU
ML
65%
20-11
60%
18-12
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
ATS
65%
20-11
67%
20-10
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
TTL
71%
22-9
57%
17-13
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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