HAMPTON
PIRATESHAMP
12-13 | Road
70
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
AGGIESNCAT
9-14 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
AGGIES
0%
PIRATES
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (North Carolina A&T)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NCAT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCAT)
HAMP By 1-7 points
15.3%
HAMP By 8-14 points
5.8%
NCAT By 1-7 points
26.2%
NCAT By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Hampton
76
HAMPTON
North Carolina A&T
83
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Simulated Score
Hampton
71
HAMPTON
North Carolina A&T
78
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Aggies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Aggies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Aggies (+3)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Aggies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.0
Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u137.0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 13, 2026
HAMP @ NCAT
70 - 71
Jan 19, 2026
NCAT @ HAMP
61 - 82
Jan 20, 2025
HAMP @ NCAT
74 - 73
Dec 3, 2024
NCAT @ HAMP
71 - 82
Feb 1, 2024
HAMP @ NCAT
58 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+17.0% more
North Carolina A&T: 12.5
vs
Hampton: 10.7
Steals (L5)
+11.4% more
North Carolina A&T: 6.9
vs
Hampton: 6.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
North Carolina A&T: 43.5%
vs
Hampton: 38.5%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.1%
North Carolina A&T: 73.3%
vs
Hampton: 69.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score
76.0
70
NCAT Score
83.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 35.3
44.0 / 29.0
Assists
10.8 / 11.6
13.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.3
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 38.5
45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 69.2
70.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 37.8
28.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.2
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 10.7
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
NCAT
11-19-0
(36.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
NCAT
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.1
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCAT
HAMP
NCAT
HAMP
ML
52%
14-13
53%
17-15
63%
17-10
75%
24-8
ATS
63%
17-10
50%
16-16
64%
18-10
75%
24-8
TTL
69%
18-8-1
68%
21-10-1
100%
28-0
100%
32-0
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