AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
BIG GREEN
0%
BULLDOGS
--
BIG GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
DARTMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Dartmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DART -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DART)
YALE By 1-7 points
0.2%
YALE By 8-14 points
0.0%
DART By 1-7 points
1.7%
DART By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Yale
67
YALE
Dartmouth
95
DARTMOUTH
Simulated Score
Yale
62
YALE
Dartmouth
75
DARTMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Green
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Green
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Green (+10)
Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Big Green (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 13, 2026
YALE @ DART
83 - 70
Jan 30, 2026
DART @ YALE
68 - 83
Feb 28, 2025
YALE @ DART
72 - 67
Jan 20, 2025
DART @ YALE
67 - 83
Mar 1, 2024
DART @ YALE
56 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+56.3% more
Dartmouth: 3.7
vs
Yale: 2.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.4%
Dartmouth: 79.2%
vs
Yale: 75.8%
Steals (L5)
+16.6% more
Yale: 5.5
vs
Dartmouth: 4.6
Rebounding (L5)
+11.7% more
Yale: 36.4
vs
Dartmouth: 32.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
YALE Score
67.0
83
DART Score
95.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 40.7
43.0 / 47.0
Assists
12.7 / 14.1
18.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.7 / 2.4
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.5 / 49.4
45.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
79.2 / 75.8
85.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 36.4
31.0 / 28.0
Steals
4.6 / 5.5
1.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 11.2
16.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
DART
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YALE
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
DART
Advantage
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DART
YALE
DART
YALE
ML
62%
16-10
48%
15-16
50%
13-13
58%
18-13
ATS
65%
17-9
65%
20-11
50%
13-13
58%
18-13
TTL
88%
23-3
61%
19-12
100%
26-0
100%
31-0