YALE

BULLDOGSYALE

18-4  |  Road

83
FINAL
Fri, Feb 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Leede Arena
View Odds Details →

DARTMOUTH

BIG GREENDART

10-11  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
BIG GREEN
0%
BULLDOGS --
BIG GREEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
DARTMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Dartmouth)
BulldogsYALE (-3.5) 0 Big GreenDART (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

0.3%

Big Green Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DART -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DART)

YALE By 1-7 points

0.2%

YALE By 8-14 points

0.0%

DART By 1-7 points

1.7%

DART By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
67
YALE
95
DARTMOUTH
Simulated Score
62
YALE
75
DARTMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Big Green Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Big Green Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Big Green (+10) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Big Green (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 13, 2026 YALE @ DART 83 - 70
Jan 30, 2026 DART @ YALE 68 - 83
Feb 28, 2025 YALE @ DART 72 - 67
Jan 20, 2025 DART @ YALE 67 - 83
Mar 1, 2024 DART @ YALE 56 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +56.3% more
Dartmouth: 3.7 vs Yale: 2.4
Free Throw % (L5) +3.4%
Dartmouth: 79.2% vs Yale: 75.8%
Steals (L5) +16.6% more
Yale: 5.5 vs Dartmouth: 4.6
Rebounding (L5) +11.7% more
Yale: 36.4 vs Dartmouth: 32.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
YALE Score 67.0 83
DART Score 95.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 40.7 43.0 / 47.0
Assists 12.7 / 14.1 18.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.7 / 2.4 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.5 / 49.4 45.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 79.2 / 75.8 85.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 32.1 / 36.4 31.0 / 28.0
Steals 4.6 / 5.5 1.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 11.2 16.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YALE Advantage
24-7-0 (77.4%)
Margin: 10.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
DART
11-16-0 (40.7%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YALE
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 10.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
DART Advantage
11-14-0 (44.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +1.1
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0% Total +/-: +0.5