Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Peacocks @ Pioneers SPU @ SHU

SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

14-8  |  Road

71
FINAL
Fri, Feb 13 • 7:00 PM ET
William H. Pitt Center
View Odds Details →

SACRED HEART

PIONEERSSHU

10-16  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
PEACOCKS
100%
📊
PIONEERS
0%
PEACOCKS --
PIONEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
SACRED HEART
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Sacred Heart)
PeacocksSPU (-3.5) 0 PioneersSHU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Peacocks Cover

0.5%

Pioneers Cover

99.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SHU -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHU)

SPU By 1-7 points

0.4%

SPU By 8-14 points

0.0%

SHU By 1-7 points

2.7%

SHU By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
56
SAINT PETER'S
82
SACRED HEART
Simulated Score
68
SAINT PETER'S
72
SACRED HEART
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pioneers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pioneers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pioneers (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Pioneers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 13, 2026 SPU @ SHU 71 - 78
Feb 23, 2025 SHU @ SPU 79 - 85
Jan 18, 2025 SPU @ SHU 66 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +13.0% more
Sacred Heart: 3.0 vs Saint Peter's: 2.6
Free Throw % (L5) +8.7%
Sacred Heart: 78.6% vs Saint Peter's: 69.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
Sacred Heart: 33.9% vs Saint Peter's: 30.2%
Steals (L5) +53.2% more
Saint Peter's: 7.7 vs Sacred Heart: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SPU Score 56.0 71
SHU Score 82.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 30.2 48.0 / 29.0
Assists 14.3 / 13.3 11.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.6 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 43.0 48.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 78.6 / 69.9 79.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 36.9 31.0 / 36.0
Steals 3.6 / 7.7 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 10.3 11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
31%MONEY69%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
SHU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU Advantage
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
SHU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHU
SPU
SHU
SPU
ML
61% 20-13
64% 18-10
73% 24-9
71% 20-8
ATS
76% 25-8
71% 20-8
73% 24-9
71% 20-8
TTL
58% 19-14
61% 17-11
100% 33-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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