MANHATTAN
JASPERSMAN
10-16 | Road
76
NIAGARA
PURPLE EAGLESNIA
6-18 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
JASPERS
100%
PURPLE EAGLES
0%
JASPERS
--
PURPLE EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
NIAGARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Niagara)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NIA -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NIA)
MAN By 1-7 points
6.8%
MAN By 8-14 points
1.7%
NIA By 1-7 points
18.6%
NIA By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Manhattan
65
MANHATTAN
Niagara
78
NIAGARA
Simulated Score
Manhattan
69
MANHATTAN
Niagara
73
NIAGARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Purple Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Purple Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Purple Eagles (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Purple Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o135.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 13, 2026
MAN @ NIA
76 - 69
Jan 11, 2026
NIA @ MAN
70 - 79
Mar 2, 2025
MAN @ NIA
85 - 70
Jan 18, 2025
NIA @ MAN
65 - 72
Jan 28, 2024
MAN @ NIA
84 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+42.1% more
Niagara: 13.3
vs
Manhattan: 9.3
Blocks (L5)
+38.8% more
Niagara: 2.6
vs
Manhattan: 1.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
Niagara: 37.2%
vs
Manhattan: 30.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Niagara: 45.0%
vs
Manhattan: 42.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MAN Score
65.0
76
NIA Score
78.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 30.6
32.0 / 48.0
Assists
14.0 / 13.8
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.6 / 1.9
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 42.8
51.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
66.4 / 86.2
81.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 35.3
26.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.3
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 9.3
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAN
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
NIA
8-22-0
(26.7%)
Margin: -7.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAN
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
NIA
Advantage
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
NIA
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NIA
MAN
NIA
MAN
ML
55%
16-13
52%
16-15
72%
21-8
68%
21-10
ATS
69%
20-9
52%
16-15
72%
21-8
69%
22-10
TTL
55%
16-13
77%
24-7
100%
29-0
100%
32-0
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