Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Minutemen @ Zips MASS @ AKR

MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

15-10  |  Road

92
FINAL
Fri, Feb 13 • 9:00 PM ET
James A. Rhodes Arena
View Odds Details →

AKRON

ZIPSAKR

19-5  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
MINUTEMEN
100%
📊
ZIPS
0%
MINUTEMEN --
ZIPS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
201.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Akron)
MinutemenMASS (-3.5) 0 ZipsAKR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Minutemen Cover

30.9%

Zips Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AKR -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)

MASS By 1-7 points

18.6%

MASS By 8-14 points

8.0%

AKR By 1-7 points

27.2%

AKR By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
98
MASSACHUSETTS
103
AKRON
Simulated Score
72
MASSACHUSETTS
75
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Zips Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Zips Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Zips (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Zips (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o162.5 Win
Proj Total: 201.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 13, 2026 MASS @ AKR 92 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +56.0% more
Akron: 2.8 vs Massachusetts: 1.8
Free Throw % (L5) +10.2%
Akron: 73.5% vs Massachusetts: 63.3%
Steals (L5) +19.4% more
Massachusetts: 6.5 vs Akron: 5.2
Rebounding (L5) +11.2% more
Massachusetts: 39.9 vs Akron: 35.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MASS Score 98.0 92
AKR Score 103.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.6 / 35.0 37.0 / 46.0
Assists 15.7 / 16.3 16.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.8 / 1.8 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 47.2 46.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 73.5 / 63.3 88.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 35.5 / 39.9 34.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.2 / 6.5 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 10.7 11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MASS
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
AKR Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 13.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MASS
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
AKR Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 13.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
MASS
AKR
MASS
ML
71% 24-10
44% 14-18
65% 22-12
68% 21-10
ATS
76% 26-8
47% 15-17
65% 22-12
68% 21-10
TTL
59% 20-14
56% 18-14
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
College Football Week 5: Northwestern's Rise, Big Ten Coaches Un…
theathleticuk 4 days, 17 hours ago
Princeton Basketball Standout A'mire Gill Pledges to Miami (Ohio…
yahoo 1 week, 4 days ago
When John Chaney Unleashed His Inner Knight: A 1994 Meltdown Rev…
yahoo 1 month ago
Florida's Todd Golden Locks In Massive Six-Year, $49.5M Extension
cbssports 1 month, 1 week ago
UMass Lowell Coach Pat Duquette Confident in Rebuilt Roster Ahea…
berkshireeagle 1 month, 1 week ago