COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
14-8 | Road
67
PENNSYLVANIA
QUAKERSPENN
11-10 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
QUAKERS
100%
LIONS
--
QUAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Columbia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLU -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLU)
COLU By 1-7 points
0.5%
COLU By 8-14 points
2.7%
PENN By 1-7 points
0.0%
PENN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbia
90
COLUMBIA
Pennsylvania
57
PENNSYLVANIA
Simulated Score
Columbia
68
COLUMBIA
Pennsylvania
72
PENNSYLVANIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Quakers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Quakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 13, 2026
COLU @ PENN
67 - 76
Jan 30, 2026
PENN @ COLU
67 - 72
Mar 1, 2025
PENN @ COLU
92 - 87
Jan 25, 2025
COLU @ PENN
78 - 93
Mar 2, 2024
COLU @ PENN
72 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+23.0% more
Columbia: 12.5
vs
Pennsylvania: 9.6
Assists (L5)
+13.7% more
Columbia: 15.8
vs
Pennsylvania: 13.7
Blocks (L5)
+40.7% more
Pennsylvania: 4.6
vs
Columbia: 3.3
Steals (L5)
+19.2% more
Pennsylvania: 6.3
vs
Columbia: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLU Score
90.0
67
PENN Score
57.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 36.2
38.0 / 36.0
Assists
13.7 / 15.8
15.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.3
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 45.6
44.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
66.9 / 58.5
72.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 33.7
31.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.3 / 5.3
10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 12.5
10.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
PENN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLU
Advantage
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
PENN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
PENN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PENN
COLU
PENN
COLU
ML
53%
16-14
44%
12-15
76%
22-7
56%
15-12
ATS
63%
19-11
59%
16-11
76%
22-7
56%
15-12
TTL
70%
21-9
74%
20-7
100%
29-0
100%
27-0
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