Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bobcats @ Saints QUIN @ SIE

QUINNIPIAC

BOBCATSQUIN

17-9  |  Road

74
FINAL
Fri, Feb 13 • 7:00 PM ET
MVP Arena
View Odds Details →

SIENA

SAINTSSIE

17-8  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
100%
📊
SAINTS
0%
BOBCATS --
SAINTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SIENA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Siena)
BobcatsQUIN (-3.5) 0 SaintsSIE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bobcats Cover

38.2%

Saints Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIE -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIE)

QUIN By 1-7 points

21.6%

QUIN By 8-14 points

10.7%

SIE By 1-7 points

27.2%

SIE By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
59
QUINNIPIAC
62
SIENA
Simulated Score
70
QUINNIPIAC
72
SIENA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Saints Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Saints Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Saints (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Saints (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 13, 2026 QUIN @ SIE 74 - 62
Feb 2, 2025 QUIN @ SIE 75 - 84
Jan 10, 2025 SIE @ QUIN 53 - 72
Mar 3, 2024 SIE @ QUIN 57 - 71
Jan 19, 2024 QUIN @ SIE 82 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +10.3%
Siena: 50.1% vs Quinnipiac: 39.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +8.8%
Siena: 80.2% vs Quinnipiac: 71.3%
Blocks (L5) +22.1% more
Quinnipiac: 3.9 vs Siena: 3.1
Rebounding (L5) +21.8% more
Quinnipiac: 37.6 vs Siena: 29.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score 59.0 74
SIE Score 62.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.2 / 32.9 24.0 / 38.0
Assists 14.2 / 13.4 10.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.9 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.1 / 39.8 37.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 80.2 / 71.3 88.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 29.4 / 37.6 38.0 / 41.0
Steals 7.3 / 7.1 3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 12.2 10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -1.5
SIE Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
13-17-1 (43.3%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -1.5
SIE Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -0.9
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIE
QUIN
SIE
QUIN
ML
66% 23-12
66% 21-11
48% 16-17
53% 17-15
ATS
66% 23-12
59% 19-13
48% 16-17
53% 17-15
TTL
54% 19-16
62% 20-12
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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