CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
BLUE DEVILSCCSU
13-10 | Road
81
NEW HAVEN
CHARGERSNHVN
10-14 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
0%
CHARGERS
100%
BLUE DEVILS
--
CHARGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Central Connecticut)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CCSU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCSU)
CCSU By 1-7 points
27.4%
CCSU By 8-14 points
21.6%
NHVN By 1-7 points
20.1%
NHVN By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Connecticut
64
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
New Haven
60
NEW HAVEN
Simulated Score
Central Connecticut
69
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
New Haven
74
NEW HAVEN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chargers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Devils (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Chargers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u128.5
Loss
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim
u128.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
CCSU @ NHVN
81 - 76
Jan 4, 2026
NHVN @ CCSU
61 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.1% more
Central Connecticut: 4.0
vs
New Haven: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+15.4% more
Central Connecticut: 34.4
vs
New Haven: 29.2
Assists (L5)
+12.7% more
Central Connecticut: 14.6
vs
New Haven: 12.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.3%
Central Connecticut: 80.7%
vs
New Haven: 68.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score
64.0
81
NHVN Score
60.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 40.4
29.0 / 56.0
Assists
12.7 / 14.6
14.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.7 / 4.0
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 49.7
45.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
68.4 / 80.7
95.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
29.2 / 34.4
29.0 / 28.0
Steals
4.5 / 4.9
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 11.4
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
NHVN
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
NHVN
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NHVN
CCSU
NHVN
CCSU
ML
71%
22-9
57%
17-13
68%
21-10
57%
17-13
ATS
74%
23-8
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
57%
17-13
TTL
42%
13-18
60%
18-12
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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