LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
16-8 | Road
67
WAGNER
SEAHAWKSWAG
8-14 | Home
57
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
0%
SEAHAWKS
100%
SHARKS
--
SEAHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
LIU By 1-7 points
10.7%
LIU By 8-14 points
21.6%
WAG By 1-7 points
2.7%
WAG By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Long Island University
97
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Wagner
79
WAGNER
Simulated Score
Long Island University
62
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Wagner
70
WAGNER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seahawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sharks (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Seahawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
WAG @ LIU
56 - 64
Feb 16, 2026
WAG @ LIU
65 - 83
Feb 12, 2026
LIU @ WAG
67 - 57
Feb 27, 2025
WAG @ LIU
47 - 60
Feb 6, 2025
LIU @ WAG
60 - 47
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+80.2% more
Long Island University: 6.6
vs
Wagner: 1.3
Rebounding (L5)
+16.5% more
Long Island University: 36.7
vs
Wagner: 30.6
Turnovers (L5)
+12.1% more
Long Island University: 11.9
vs
Wagner: 10.5
Steals (L5)
+9.4% more
Long Island University: 6.5
vs
Wagner: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIU Score
97.0
67
WAG Score
79.0
57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 34.4
25.0 / 8.0
Assists
11.9 / 11.9
7.0 / 17.0
Blocks
1.3 / 6.6
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 44.5
39.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
74.3 / 72.4
53.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
30.6 / 36.7
35.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.5
8.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 11.9
17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
WAG
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
WAG
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAG
LIU
WAG
LIU
ML
63%
19-11
60%
21-14
57%
17-13
69%
24-11
ATS
60%
18-12
63%
22-13
57%
17-13
69%
24-11
TTL
53%
16-14
60%
21-14
100%
30-0
100%
35-0
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