BRYANT
BULLDOGSBRY
8-16 | Road
69
UMASS LOWELL
RIVER HAWKSUML
10-15 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
RIVER HAWKS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
RIVER HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
97.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
UMASS LOWELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (UMass Lowell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UML -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UML)
BRY By 1-7 points
0.1%
BRY By 8-14 points
0.0%
UML By 1-7 points
1.4%
UML By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Bryant
34
BRYANT
UMass Lowell
63
UMASS LOWELL
Simulated Score
Bryant
72
BRYANT
UMass Lowell
75
UMASS LOWELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
River Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
River Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
River Hawks (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
River Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 97.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
BRY @ UML
69 - 88
Jan 8, 2026
UML @ BRY
77 - 63
Feb 27, 2025
BRY @ UML
79 - 78
Jan 18, 2025
UML @ BRY
62 - 85
Mar 12, 2024
BRY @ UML
70 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+12.6% more
UMass Lowell: 39.5
vs
Bryant: 35.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
UMass Lowell: 46.3%
vs
Bryant: 44.1%
Assists (L5)
+27.2% more
Bryant: 13.4
vs
UMass Lowell: 9.7
Blocks (L5)
+21.3% more
Bryant: 3.2
vs
UMass Lowell: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRY Score
34.0
69
UML Score
63.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 35.0
47.0 / 35.0
Assists
9.7 / 13.4
14.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.2
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 44.1
54.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 78.9
65.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
39.5 / 35.1
35.0 / 29.0
Steals
4.2 / 4.6
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 13.2
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
UML
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
UML
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UML
BRY
UML
BRY
ML
70%
23-10
70%
21-9
58%
19-14
80%
24-6
ATS
70%
23-10
73%
22-8
58%
19-14
80%
24-6
TTL
58%
19-14
67%
20-10
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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