Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Catamounts @ Bearcats UVM @ BING

VERMONT

CATAMOUNTSUVM

15-10  |  Road

73
FINAL
Thu, Feb 12 • 6:30 PM ET
Events Center (Binghamton)
View Odds Details →

BINGHAMTON

BEARCATSBING

5-20  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
100%
📊
BEARCATS
0%
CATAMOUNTS --
BEARCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
BINGHAMTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Binghamton)
CatamountsUVM (-3.5) 0 BearcatsBING (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Catamounts Cover

0.2%

Bearcats Cover

99.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BING -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BING)

UVM By 1-7 points

0.1%

UVM By 8-14 points

0.0%

BING By 1-7 points

1.4%

BING By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
57
VERMONT
86
BINGHAMTON
Simulated Score
60
VERMONT
75
BINGHAMTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bearcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bearcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bearcats (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Bearcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o136.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 12, 2026 UVM @ BING 73 - 65
Jan 8, 2026 BING @ UVM 59 - 60
Jan 30, 2025 UVM @ BING 72 - 75
Jan 16, 2025 BING @ UVM 64 - 72
Feb 3, 2024 BING @ UVM 49 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +5.1%
Binghamton: 78.3% vs Vermont: 73.2%
Blocks (L5) +48.6% more
Vermont: 3.8 vs Binghamton: 2.0
Assists (L5) +27.6% more
Vermont: 16.0 vs Binghamton: 11.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Vermont: 34.9% vs Binghamton: 31.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVM Score 57.0 73
BING Score 86.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.6 / 34.9 47.0 / 15.0
Assists 11.6 / 16.0 10.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.8 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 40.9 / 43.5 46.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 78.3 / 73.2 63.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 33.9 / 36.8 25.0 / 33.0
Steals 4.1 / 4.1 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 10.4 13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVM Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
BING
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
BING Advantage
14-13-0 (51.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.9
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4% Total +/-: +5.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BING
UVM
BING
UVM
ML
67% 20-10
56% 19-15
57% 17-13
65% 22-12
ATS
73% 22-8
62% 21-13
57% 17-13
65% 22-12
TTL
70% 21-9
47% 16-18
100% 30-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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