Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rainbow Warriors @ Roadrunners HAW @ CSUB

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

17-5  |  Road

89
FINAL
Thu, Feb 12 • 9:30 PM ET
Icardo Center
View Odds Details →

CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD

ROADRUNNERSCSUB

8-17  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
RAINBOW WARRIORS
0%
📊
ROADRUNNERS
100%
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
ROADRUNNERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
105.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Rainbow WarriorsHAW (-3.5) 0 RoadrunnersCSUB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rainbow Warriors Cover

18.4%

Roadrunners Cover

81.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CSUB +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUB)

HAW By 1-7 points

24.3%

HAW By 8-14 points

26.8%

CSUB By 1-7 points

12.2%

CSUB By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
57
HAWAI'I
48
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Simulated Score
65
HAWAI'I
72
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rainbow Warriors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Roadrunners Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Roadrunners (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim Roadrunners (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 105.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 12, 2026 HAW @ CSUB 89 - 74
Jan 22, 2026 CSUB @ HAW 71 - 98
Mar 6, 2025 HAW @ CSUB 64 - 76
Jan 18, 2025 CSUB @ HAW 70 - 81
Mar 9, 2024 CSUB @ HAW 57 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +6.1%
Hawai'i: 74.8% vs Cal State Bakersfield: 68.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.0%
Hawai'i: 46.0% vs Cal State Bakersfield: 40.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.8%
Hawai'i: 35.0% vs Cal State Bakersfield: 29.2%
Blocks (L5) +27.5% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 5.8 vs Hawai'i: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAW Score 57.0 89
CSUB Score 48.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.2 / 35.0 8.0 / 38.0
Assists 12.9 / 12.9 5.0 / 19.0
Blocks 5.8 / 4.6 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 40.1 / 46.0 48.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 68.7 / 74.8 75.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 39.9 29.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.5 / 5.9 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 14.0 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
93%MONEY7%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
CSUB
8-24-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -9.1 ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAW Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
CSUB
11-18-1 (37.9%)
Margin: -9.1 ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
CSUB
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUB
HAW
CSUB
HAW
ML
55% 17-14
61% 20-13
71% 22-9
68% 21-10
ATS
61% 19-12
67% 22-11
71% 22-9
68% 21-10
TTL
58% 18-13
61% 20-13
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 9 hours ago
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…
kwch 4 days, 3 hours ago
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
si 5 days, 4 hours ago
UCLA's Unlikely Heroes: TaShawn James, Jalen Woods, and Semaj Mo…
si 5 days, 15 hours ago
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 10 hours ago