Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bengals @ Eagles IDST @ EWU

IDAHO STATE

BENGALSIDST

10-15  |  Road

75
FINAL
Thu, Feb 12 • 9:00 PM ET
Reese Court
View Odds Details →

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

7-17  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
BENGALS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Eastern Washington)
BengalsIDST (-3.5) 0 EaglesEWU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

34.5%

Eagles Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EWU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EWU)

IDST By 1-7 points

20.1%

IDST By 8-14 points

9.3%

EWU By 1-7 points

27.4%

EWU By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
78
IDAHO STATE
82
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
67
IDAHO STATE
78
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 12, 2026 IDST @ EWU 75 - 88
Jan 17, 2026 EWU @ IDST 84 - 66
Mar 1, 2025 IDST @ EWU 78 - 54
Jan 30, 2025 EWU @ IDST 70 - 78
Feb 15, 2024 IDST @ EWU 82 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +27.1% more
Eastern Washington: 11.8 vs Idaho State: 9.3
Rebounding (L5) +14.6% more
Eastern Washington: 33.8 vs Idaho State: 29.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.7%
Eastern Washington: 43.9% vs Idaho State: 33.2%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.7%
Eastern Washington: 78.5% vs Idaho State: 72.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IDST Score 78.0 75
EWU Score 82.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.9 / 33.2 33.0 / 24.0
Assists 10.5 / 11.9 22.0 / 6.0
Blocks 2.7 / 4.0 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 44.2 56.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 78.5 / 72.8 92.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 33.8 / 29.5 21.0 / 31.0
Steals 4.1 / 5.0 7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 9.3 6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDST
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
EWU Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDST
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -2.5
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
IDST
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +5.4
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EWU
IDST
EWU
IDST
ML
64% 21-12
59% 19-13
69% 22-10
72% 23-9
ATS
64% 21-12
50% 16-16
69% 22-10
72% 23-9
TTL
48% 16-17
59% 19-13
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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