Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Vandals WEB @ IDHO

WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

12-13  |  Road

83
FINAL
Thu, Feb 12 • 9:00 PM ET
ICCU Arena
View Odds Details →

IDAHO

VANDALSIDHO

13-11  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
VANDALS
100%
WILDCATS --
VANDALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
WEBER STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Weber State)
WildcatsWEB (-3.5) 0 VandalsIDHO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

99.7%

Vandals Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WEB -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WEB)

WEB By 1-7 points

2.2%

WEB By 8-14 points

8.0%

IDHO By 1-7 points

0.3%

IDHO By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
92
WEBER STATE
65
IDAHO
Simulated Score
72
WEBER STATE
68
IDAHO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Wildcats (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o153.5 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 12, 2026 WEB @ IDHO 83 - 72
Jan 17, 2026 IDHO @ WEB 75 - 67
Mar 1, 2025 WEB @ IDHO 79 - 81
Jan 30, 2025 IDHO @ WEB 82 - 74
Feb 15, 2024 WEB @ IDHO 70 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +10.0% more
Weber State: 11.9 vs Idaho: 10.7
Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Weber State: 45.9% vs Idaho: 42.5%
Blocks (L5) +62.0% more
Idaho: 1.4 vs Weber State: 0.7
Turnovers (L5) +24.3% more
Idaho: 11.4 vs Weber State: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WEB Score 92.0 83
IDHO Score 65.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.1 / 31.5 30.0 / 53.0
Assists 10.7 / 11.9 10.0 / 13.0
Blocks 1.4 / 0.7 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.5 / 45.9 42.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 73.6 / 74.7 76.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 34.8 / 33.5 31.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.3 2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 9.2 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEB
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
IDHO Advantage
21-15-0 (58.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEB Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
IDHO
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDHO
WEB
IDHO
WEB
ML
56% 20-16
73% 22-8
64% 21-12
73% 22-8
ATS
58% 21-15
63% 19-11
64% 21-12
74% 23-8
TTL
69% 25-11
83% 25-5
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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