DETROIT MERCY
TITANSDETM
10-13 | Road
77
WRIGHT STATE
RAIDERSWRST
16-9 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
0%
RAIDERS
100%
TITANS
--
RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WRST +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)
DETM By 1-7 points
26.2%
DETM By 8-14 points
25.3%
WRST By 1-7 points
15.3%
WRST By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit Mercy
87
DETROIT MERCY
Wright State
80
WRIGHT STATE
Simulated Score
Detroit Mercy
65
DETROIT MERCY
Wright State
80
WRIGHT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raiders (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
Raiders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
DETM @ WRST
63 - 66
Feb 12, 2026
DETM @ WRST
77 - 74
Jan 9, 2026
WRST @ DETM
84 - 82
Jan 25, 2025
DETM @ WRST
50 - 67
Dec 7, 2024
WRST @ DETM
80 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+20.7% more
Detroit Mercy: 4.1
vs
Wright State: 3.2
Turnovers (L5)
+14.4% more
Detroit Mercy: 12.5
vs
Wright State: 10.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.6%
Detroit Mercy: 43.6%
vs
Wright State: 31.0%
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.7%
Detroit Mercy: 78.8%
vs
Wright State: 69.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DETM Score
87.0
77
WRST Score
80.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 43.6
28.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.5 / 13.9
14.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.2 / 4.1
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 45.6
41.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
69.1 / 78.8
79.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
37.9 / 35.5
32.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.7 / 4.5
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 12.5
7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
WRST
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
WRST
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WRST
DETM
WRST
DETM
ML
37%
13-22
58%
18-13
63%
22-13
50%
15-15
ATS
46%
16-19
61%
19-12
63%
22-13
50%
15-15
TTL
63%
22-13
61%
19-12
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
DeVonta Smith's Star Turn Lifts Eagles Over Titans in Thrilling …
Big 12 2026 Preview: Texas Tech's Title Defense Faces These Chal…
Darrion Williams Picks Texas Tech Over Kentucky for Final Colleg…
Darrion Williams Commits to Texas Tech for Fifth Season, Boostin…