NORTHERN KENTUCKY
NORSENKU
15-11 | Road
84
IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
7-19 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
NORSE
100%
JAGUARS
0%
NORSE
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IUIN -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)
NKU By 1-7 points
0.0%
NKU By 8-14 points
0.0%
IUIN By 1-7 points
0.1%
IUIN By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Kentucky
51
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
IU Indianapolis
88
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
Northern Kentucky
65
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
IU Indianapolis
70
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jaguars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaguars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jaguars (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Jaguars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
NKU @ IUIN
84 - 81
Jan 1, 2026
IUIN @ NKU
72 - 81
Feb 23, 2025
IUIN @ NKU
67 - 71
Dec 7, 2024
NKU @ IUIN
66 - 64
Feb 25, 2024
IUIN @ NKU
64 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+56.7% more
IU Indianapolis: 21.4
vs
Northern Kentucky: 13.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
IU Indianapolis: 36.7%
vs
Northern Kentucky: 31.2%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.7%
IU Indianapolis: 73.5%
vs
Northern Kentucky: 68.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
IU Indianapolis: 46.2%
vs
Northern Kentucky: 42.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NKU Score
51.0
84
IUIN Score
88.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 31.2
29.0 / 43.0
Assists
21.4 / 13.6
15.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.4 / 4.1
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 42.3
47.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 68.7
80.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 32.7
36.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.9 / 8.3
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 10.2
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NKU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
IUIN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NKU
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
IUIN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
NKU
21-10-0
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +5.4
IUIN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
NKU
IUIN
NKU
ML
69%
22-10
53%
18-16
78%
25-7
65%
22-12
ATS
66%
21-11
56%
19-15
78%
25-7
65%
22-12
TTL
50%
16-16
68%
23-11
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
