AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
FLAMES
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (UIC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UIC -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)
UIC By 1-7 points
12.2%
UIC By 8-14 points
23.0%
DRKE By 1-7 points
3.3%
DRKE By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
UIC
68
UIC
Drake
51
DRAKE
Simulated Score
UIC
67
UIC
Drake
79
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
DRKE @ UIC
51 - 72
Feb 12, 2026
UIC @ DRKE
80 - 70
Jan 17, 2026
DRKE @ UIC
67 - 74
Feb 19, 2025
UIC @ DRKE
57 - 74
Jan 1, 2025
DRKE @ UIC
70 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+50.8% more
UIC: 8.3
vs
Drake: 4.1
Turnovers (L5)
+27.4% more
UIC: 11.9
vs
Drake: 8.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
Drake: 32.2%
vs
UIC: 26.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UIC Score
68.0
80
DRKE Score
51.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 26.8
41.0 / 43.0
Assists
12.7 / 12.2
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.8
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 43.0
43.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
69.7 / 69.1
81.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 34.9
32.0 / 36.0
Steals
4.1 / 8.3
3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 11.9
12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
DRKE
Advantage
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
DRKE
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
UIC
DRKE
UIC
ML
59%
20-14
57%
20-15
38%
13-21
44%
15-19
ATS
85%
29-5
54%
19-16
38%
13-21
44%
15-19
TTL
56%
19-15
60%
21-14
100%
34-0
100%
34-0