MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
12-12 | Road
93
DREXEL
DRAGONSDREX
13-12 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
DRAGONS
100%
HAWKS
--
DRAGONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
MONMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Monmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MONM -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MONM)
MONM By 1-7 points
25.3%
MONM By 8-14 points
26.2%
DREX By 1-7 points
13.7%
DREX By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Monmouth
77
MONMOUTH
Drexel
69
DREXEL
Simulated Score
Monmouth
68
MONMOUTH
Drexel
72
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dragons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Dragons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o133.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
DREX @ MONM
57 - 65
Feb 12, 2026
MONM @ DREX
93 - 73
Jan 15, 2026
DREX @ MONM
73 - 51
Mar 1, 2025
MONM @ DREX
61 - 71
Jan 30, 2025
DREX @ MONM
97 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+47.5% more
Monmouth: 9.8
vs
Drexel: 5.2
Blocks (L5)
+39.1% more
Monmouth: 3.7
vs
Drexel: 2.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+17.1%
Monmouth: 72.9%
vs
Drexel: 55.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+11.5% more
Drexel: 11.2
vs
Monmouth: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MONM Score
77.0
93
DREX Score
69.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 31.3
30.0 / 46.0
Assists
12.9 / 13.3
15.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.2 / 3.7
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 41.9
48.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
55.8 / 72.9
79.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 32.7
28.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.2 / 9.8
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 10.1
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
DREX
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
MONM
DREX
MONM
ML
58%
19-14
62%
21-13
81%
26-6
64%
21-12
ATS
70%
23-10
62%
21-13
81%
26-6
64%
21-12
TTL
48%
16-17
59%
20-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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