PURDUE FORT WAYNE
MASTODONSPFW
14-11 | Road
59
GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
14-12 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
MASTODONS
0%
PHOENIX
100%
MASTODONS
--
PHOENIX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Purdue Fort Wayne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PFW -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PFW)
PFW By 1-7 points
0.0%
PFW By 8-14 points
0.1%
GB By 1-7 points
0.0%
GB By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Purdue Fort Wayne
95
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Green Bay
51
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
Purdue Fort Wayne
78
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Green Bay
72
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mastodons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mastodons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mastodons (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
Mastodons (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
PFW @ GB
56 - 64
Feb 12, 2026
PFW @ GB
59 - 76
Jan 1, 2026
GB @ PFW
72 - 54
Feb 8, 2025
GB @ PFW
74 - 89
Dec 29, 2024
PFW @ GB
83 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.4% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 8.0
vs
Green Bay: 6.3
Rebounding (L5)
+35.7% more
Green Bay: 34.4
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 25.4
Assists (L5)
+22.1% more
Green Bay: 13.7
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 11.2
Turnovers (L5)
+16.7% more
Green Bay: 10.8
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PFW Score
95.0
59
GB Score
51.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 35.8
38.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.7 / 11.2
13.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.0
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 45.8
58.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
82.1 / 75.9
82.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 25.4
23.0 / 26.0
Steals
6.3 / 8.0
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 9.3
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PFW
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PFW
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PFW
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: -0.7
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
PFW
GB
PFW
ML
48%
16-17
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
74%
23-8
ATS
52%
17-16
62%
20-12
67%
22-11
74%
23-8
TTL
58%
19-14
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
