WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
15-9 | Road
94
NORTHEASTERN
HUSKIESNE
6-17 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
TRIBE
0%
HUSKIES
100%
TRIBE
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
WILLIAM & MARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (William & Mary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around W&M -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (W&M)
W&M By 1-7 points
13.7%
W&M By 8-14 points
24.3%
NE By 1-7 points
4.0%
NE By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
William & Mary
72
WILLIAM & MARY
Northeastern
56
NORTHEASTERN
Simulated Score
William & Mary
68
WILLIAM & MARY
Northeastern
72
NORTHEASTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tribe
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tribe (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
NE @ W&M
77 - 84
Feb 12, 2026
W&M @ NE
94 - 67
Mar 1, 2025
NE @ W&M
70 - 68
Jan 27, 2024
W&M @ NE
72 - 68
Feb 18, 2023
W&M @ NE
57 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.4% more
William & Mary: 3.3
vs
Northeastern: 2.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.3%
William & Mary: 75.2%
vs
Northeastern: 60.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+8.9% more
William & Mary: 11.4
vs
Northeastern: 10.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
William & Mary: 49.0%
vs
Northeastern: 42.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
W&M Score
72.0
94
NE Score
56.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 28.8
27.0 / 55.0
Assists
14.4 / 15.5
14.0 / 27.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.3
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 49.0
42.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
60.8 / 75.2
78.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 32.3
31.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.8 / 6.8
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 11.4
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
W&M
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
W&M
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
W&M
NE
W&M
ML
70%
21-9
55%
17-14
60%
18-12
61%
19-12
ATS
63%
19-11
63%
19-11-1
60%
18-12
61%
19-12
TTL
53%
16-14
61%
19-12
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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