LA
CLIPPERSLAC
25-28 | Road
105
HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
33-19 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
ROCKETS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
ROCKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
24.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
26.8%
HOU By 1-7 points
12.2%
HOU By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
117
LA
Houston
108
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
LA
112
LA
Houston
118
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Rockets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o211.5
Loss
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u211.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
LAC @ HOU
105 - 102
Feb 10, 2026
LAC @ HOU
95 - 102
Dec 23, 2025
HOU @ LAC
108 - 128
Dec 11, 2025
LAC @ HOU
113 - 115
Apr 9, 2025
HOU @ LAC
117 - 134
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
LA: 47.7%
vs
Houston: 45.1%
Steals (L5)
+17.4% more
Houston: 10.3
vs
LA: 8.7
Blocks (L5)
+9.0% more
Houston: 5.4
vs
LA: 5.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Houston: 40.2%
vs
LA: 36.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
117.0
105
HOU Score
108.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.2 / 36.3
33.0 / 39.0
Assists
22.0 / 23.7
25.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.4 / 5.0
9.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 47.7
46.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
78.7 / 75.5
78.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
44.0 / 41.5
45.0 / 32.0
Steals
10.3 / 8.7
3.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 14.9
21.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
LAC
HOU
LAC
ML
61%
69-44
60%
59-40
59%
51-35
55%
45-37
ATS
62%
70-43
66%
65-33-1
59%
51-35
55%
45-37
TTL
51%
58-55
59%
58-40-1
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
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