Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ 76ers NY @ PHI

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

34-20  |  Road

138
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 7:30 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

30-23  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
76ERS
0%
KNICKS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Philadelphia)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

27.4%

76ers Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

NY By 1-7 points

16.9%

NY By 8-14 points

6.8%

PHI By 1-7 points

26.8%

PHI By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
116
NEW YORK
122
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
109
NEW YORK
112
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 76ers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 76ers (+2) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o225.0 Win
Proj Total: 238.0
D
Sim u225.0 Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 10, 2026 NY @ PHI 144 - 114
May 8, 2026 NY @ PHI 108 - 94
May 6, 2026 PHI @ NY 102 - 108
May 4, 2026 PHI @ NY 98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026 NY @ PHI 138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +85.6% more
Philadelphia: 9.8 vs New York: 5.3
Blocks (L5) +62.5% more
Philadelphia: 5.0 vs New York: 3.1
Turnovers (L5) +20.8% more
Philadelphia: 14.0 vs New York: 11.6
Free Throw % (L5) +7.6%
Philadelphia: 83.8% vs New York: 76.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 116.0 138
PHI Score 122.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 34.4 19.0 / 45.0
Assists 23.9 / 28.1 16.0 / 41.0
Blocks 5.0 / 3.1 6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 48.2 / 47.1 38.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 83.8 / 76.2 81.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 44.9 38.0 / 51.0
Steals 9.8 / 5.3 9.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 11.6 18.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NY
PHI
NY
ML
63% 69-40
61% 114-72
48% 45-48
56% 57-45
ATS
65% 71-38
67% 124-62
48% 45-48
56% 57-45
TTL
55% 60-49
72% 133-53
100% 93-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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