INDIANA
PACERSIND
14-40 | Road
115
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
15-37 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
100%
NETS
0%
PACERS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
192.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
IND By 1-7 points
4.0%
IND By 8-14 points
0.8%
BKN By 1-7 points
13.7%
BKN By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
88
INDIANA
Brooklyn
104
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Indiana
114
INDIANA
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u215.5
Loss
Proj Total: 192.0
D
Sim
u215.5
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
IND @ BKN
123 - 94
Feb 11, 2026
IND @ BKN
115 - 110
Nov 5, 2025
BKN @ IND
112 - 103
Mar 22, 2025
BKN @ IND
103 - 108
Mar 20, 2025
BKN @ IND
99 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+32.1% more
Brooklyn: 17.8
vs
Indiana: 13.5
Steals (L5)
+15.6% more
Brooklyn: 7.9
vs
Indiana: 6.9
Rebounding (L5)
+8.8% more
Brooklyn: 44.3
vs
Indiana: 40.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
Indiana: 77.6%
vs
Brooklyn: 69.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
88.0
115
BKN Score
104.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 37.3
42.0 / 36.0
Assists
27.8 / 29.0
25.0 / 29.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.7
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 48.7
45.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 77.6
77.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
44.3 / 40.7
47.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.9 / 6.9
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
17.8 / 13.5
17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
Advantage
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
IND
BKN
IND
ML
53%
50-45
48%
47-50
59%
48-34
54%
45-38
ATS
52%
48-44-3
59%
57-40
59%
48-34
54%
45-38
TTL
57%
54-41
54%
52-45
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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