AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
JAZZ
100%
KINGS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
251.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
SAC By 1-7 points
27.2%
SAC By 8-14 points
20.1%
UTAH By 1-7 points
21.6%
UTAH By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
127
SACRAMENTO
Utah
124
UTAH
Simulated Score
Sacramento
112
SACRAMENTO
Utah
118
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (+6)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o228.5
Loss
Proj Total: 251.0
D
Sim
u228.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
UTAH @ SAC
111 - 116
Feb 11, 2026
SAC @ UTAH
93 - 121
Nov 28, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
119 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
UTAH @ SAC
104 - 105
Feb 26, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
118 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+20.4% more
Sacramento: 4.4
vs
Utah: 3.5
Assists (L5)
+20.8% more
Utah: 28.3
vs
Sacramento: 23.4
Steals (L5)
+17.3% more
Utah: 9.2
vs
Sacramento: 7.9
Rebounding (L5)
+13.0% more
Utah: 50.9
vs
Sacramento: 45.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
127.0
93
UTAH Score
124.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 27.8
41.0 / 21.0
Assists
28.3 / 23.4
34.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.4
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 44.6
55.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
79.1 / 76.2
92.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
50.9 / 45.0
52.0 / 42.0
Steals
9.2 / 7.9
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 15.0
18.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
SAC
UTAH
SAC
ML
60%
96-63
55%
55-45
48%
40-43
61%
50-32
ATS
68%
108-51
54%
52-45-3
48%
40-43
61%
50-32
TTL
75%
119-39-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0