SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

12-43  |  Road

93
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

17-37  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
📊
JAZZ
100%
KINGS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
251.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
KingsSAC (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

38.2%

Jazz Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

SAC By 1-7 points

27.2%

SAC By 8-14 points

20.1%

UTAH By 1-7 points

21.6%

UTAH By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
127
SACRAMENTO
124
UTAH
Simulated Score
112
SACRAMENTO
118
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Kings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jazz Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jazz (+6) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Jazz (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o228.5 Loss
Proj Total: 251.0
D
Sim u228.5 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 15, 2026 UTAH @ SAC 111 - 116
Feb 11, 2026 SAC @ UTAH 93 - 121
Nov 28, 2025 SAC @ UTAH 119 - 128
Oct 24, 2025 UTAH @ SAC 104 - 105
Feb 26, 2025 SAC @ UTAH 118 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +20.4% more
Sacramento: 4.4 vs Utah: 3.5
Assists (L5) +20.8% more
Utah: 28.3 vs Sacramento: 23.4
Steals (L5) +17.3% more
Utah: 9.2 vs Sacramento: 7.9
Rebounding (L5) +13.0% more
Utah: 50.9 vs Sacramento: 45.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAC Score 127.0 93
UTAH Score 124.0 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 27.8 41.0 / 21.0
Assists 28.3 / 23.4 34.0 / 24.0
Blocks 3.5 / 4.4 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.0 / 44.6 55.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 79.1 / 76.2 92.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 50.9 / 45.0 52.0 / 42.0
Steals 9.2 / 7.9 9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 15.0 18.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
UTAH Advantage
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7