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CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

24-30  |  Road

105
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 7:30 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

34-19  |  Home

124
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
📊
CELTICS
0%
BULLS --
CELTICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Boston)
BullsCHI (-3.5) 0 CelticsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

18.4%

Celtics Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

CHI By 1-7 points

12.2%

CHI By 8-14 points

4.0%

BOS By 1-7 points

24.3%

BOS By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
117
CHICAGO
126
BOSTON
Simulated Score
109
CHICAGO
118
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Celtics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Celtics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Celtics (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Celtics (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 243.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 11, 2026 CHI @ BOS 105 - 124
Jan 24, 2026 BOS @ CHI 111 - 114
Jan 5, 2026 CHI @ BOS 101 - 115
Jan 29, 2025 CHI @ BOS 100 - 122
Dec 21, 2024 BOS @ CHI 123 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +20.1% more
Boston: 48.2 vs Chicago: 40.2
Steals (L5) +41.4% more
Chicago: 9.7 vs Boston: 5.7
Turnovers (L5) +26.7% more
Chicago: 16.8 vs Boston: 12.3
Blocks (L5) +21.8% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Boston: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 117.0 105
BOS Score 126.0 124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.6 / 33.9 40.0 / 33.0
Assists 22.4 / 24.1 29.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.7 / 6.0 8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 44.1 52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 81.4 / 81.8 62.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 48.2 / 40.2 48.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.7 / 9.7 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 16.8 14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
BOS Advantage
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
CHI
BOS
CHI
ML
57% 61-46
56% 54-42
53% 47-41
57% 46-35
ATS
59% 61-43-3
65% 62-33-1
53% 47-41
57% 46-35
TTL
56% 60-47
58% 56-40
100% 88-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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