DETROIT
PISTONSDET
39-13 | Road
113
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
32-22 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
RAPTORS
0%
PISTONS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
DET By 1-7 points
18.6%
DET By 8-14 points
8.0%
TOR By 1-7 points
27.2%
TOR By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
118
DETROIT
Toronto
123
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Detroit
110
DETROIT
Toronto
115
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raptors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raptors (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o223.0
Loss
Proj Total: 241.0
D
Sim
u223.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
TOR @ DET
116 - 127
Mar 15, 2026
DET @ TOR
108 - 119
Feb 11, 2026
DET @ TOR
113 - 95
Apr 4, 2025
DET @ TOR
117 - 105
Jan 11, 2025
TOR @ DET
114 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+67.4% more
Toronto: 7.3
vs
Detroit: 4.4
Assists (L5)
+18.2% more
Toronto: 29.9
vs
Detroit: 25.3
Turnovers (L5)
+18.0% more
Toronto: 13.7
vs
Detroit: 11.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Toronto: 37.9%
vs
Detroit: 30.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
118.0
113
TOR Score
123.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 30.9
31.0 / 41.0
Assists
29.9 / 25.3
22.0 / 24.0
Blocks
7.3 / 4.4
6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
49.4 / 48.8
43.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
76.4 / 82.3
91.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
44.4 / 43.4
35.0 / 47.0
Steals
9.9 / 11.3
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 11.6
17.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
TOR
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
DET
TOR
DET
ML
55%
57-47
55%
64-53
55%
48-39
49%
47-49
ATS
61%
62-40-2
53%
60-54-3
55%
48-39
49%
47-49
TTL
60%
62-42
60%
70-46-1
100%
87-0
100%
96-0
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