Home / NBA Projections NBA / Wizards @ Cavaliers WSH @ CLE

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

14-38  |  Road

113
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

33-21  |  Home

138
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
CAVALIERS
0%
WIZARDS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
254.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Cleveland)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

34.5%

Cavaliers Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

WSH By 1-7 points

20.1%

WSH By 8-14 points

9.3%

CLE By 1-7 points

27.4%

CLE By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
125
WASHINGTON
129
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
108
WASHINGTON
115
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers (+17) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o240.0 Win
Proj Total: 254.0
D
Sim u240.0 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 WSH @ CLE 117 - 130
Feb 11, 2026 WSH @ CLE 113 - 138
Dec 12, 2025 CLE @ WSH 130 - 126
Nov 7, 2025 CLE @ WSH 148 - 115
Feb 7, 2025 CLE @ WSH 134 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +31.6% more
Cleveland: 10.0 vs Washington: 7.6
Assists (L5) +25.2% more
Cleveland: 29.4 vs Washington: 23.5
Free Throw % (L5) +5.4%
Cleveland: 78.9% vs Washington: 73.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Cleveland: 49.9% vs Washington: 45.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 125.0 113
CLE Score 129.0 138
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 36.3 42.0 / 30.0
Assists 29.4 / 23.5 30.0 / 26.0
Blocks 5.2 / 6.1 8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 49.9 / 45.5 54.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 78.9 / 73.6 86.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 40.7 / 39.3 51.0 / 40.0
Steals 10.0 / 7.6 9.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 16.9 21.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH Advantage
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
WSH
CLE
WSH
ML
60% 69-46
70% 112-49
56% 55-44
47% 39-44
ATS
67% 75-37-3
69% 111-49-1
56% 55-44
47% 39-44
TTL
59% 68-47
74% 119-41-1
100% 99-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
yahoo 1 day, 12 hours ago
Anthony Davis's Max Contract Ambitions Could Shape Wizards' Futu…
bleacherreport 2 days, 6 hours ago
From Diamond to Broadcast Booth: Detroit's Legacy of Great Athle…
freep 2 days, 12 hours ago
Zach Edey to Sit Out Grizzlies' Preseason Opener vs. Hawks, Team…
yahoo 3 days ago
Suns Coach Jordan Ott Confirms Clean Bill of Health Ahead of Pre…
si 5 days ago