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EASTERN KENTUCKY

COLONELSEKU

9-16  |  Road

61
FINAL
Wed, Feb 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Allen Arena
View Odds Details →

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

15-10  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
100%
📊
BISONS
0%
COLONELS --
BISONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Lipscomb)
ColonelsEKU (-3.5) 0 BisonsLIP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonels Cover

15.9%

Bisons Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIP -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)

EKU By 1-7 points

10.7%

EKU By 8-14 points

3.3%

LIP By 1-7 points

23.0%

LIP By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
71
EASTERN KENTUCKY
81
LIPSCOMB
Simulated Score
73
EASTERN KENTUCKY
78
LIPSCOMB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bisons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bisons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bisons (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Bisons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 LIP @ EKU 80 - 77
Feb 11, 2026 EKU @ LIP 61 - 75
Feb 18, 2025 LIP @ EKU 57 - 66
Jan 30, 2025 EKU @ LIP 80 - 71
Mar 1, 2024 EKU @ LIP 67 - 81
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
Lipscomb: 36.7% vs Eastern Kentucky: 34.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
Lipscomb: 48.6% vs Eastern Kentucky: 46.3%
Blocks (L5) +27.9% more
Eastern Kentucky: 3.4 vs Lipscomb: 2.4
Steals (L5) +11.7% more
Eastern Kentucky: 7.6 vs Lipscomb: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EKU Score 71.0 61
LIP Score 81.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.7 / 34.3 38.0 / 30.0
Assists 17.6 / 16.9 20.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.4 / 3.4 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.6 / 46.3 42.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 78.4 92.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 31.9 / 35.7 37.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.7 / 7.6 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 10.9 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EKU
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -3.7
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EKU
10-19-1 (34.5%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -3.7
LIP Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +4.9
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIP
EKU
LIP
EKU
ML
71% 22-9
44% 14-18
66% 19-10
69% 22-10
ATS
71% 22-9
56% 18-14
66% 19-10
69% 22-10
TTL
58% 18-13
53% 17-15
100% 29-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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