FURMAN
PALADINSFUR
16-9 | Road
64
MERCER
BEARSMER
15-10 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
PALADINS
0%
BEARS
100%
PALADINS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
FURMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Furman)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FUR -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FUR)
FUR By 1-7 points
26.2%
FUR By 8-14 points
25.3%
MER By 1-7 points
15.3%
MER By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Furman
95
FURMAN
Mercer
88
MERCER
Simulated Score
Furman
74
FURMAN
Mercer
70
MERCER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Paladins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Paladins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Paladins (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Paladins (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
FUR @ MER
64 - 69
Dec 31, 2025
MER @ FUR
72 - 74
Feb 12, 2025
MER @ FUR
72 - 96
Jan 25, 2025
FUR @ MER
79 - 74
Mar 2, 2024
MER @ FUR
82 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+33.8% more
Furman: 3.4
vs
Mercer: 2.3
Turnovers (L5)
+27.2% more
Furman: 13.4
vs
Mercer: 9.7
Assists (L5)
+21.9% more
Furman: 15.1
vs
Mercer: 11.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+11.2%
Furman: 48.7%
vs
Mercer: 37.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FUR Score
95.0
64
MER Score
88.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 31.9
25.0 / 30.0
Assists
11.8 / 15.1
7.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.4
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
37.5 / 48.7
36.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 73.0
86.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
38.3 / 35.1
44.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.4 / 4.3
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 13.4
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FUR
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
MER
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FUR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
MER
Advantage
19-10-0
(65.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
MER
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MER
FUR
MER
FUR
ML
55%
17-14
71%
25-10
71%
22-9
62%
21-13
ATS
58%
18-13
63%
22-13
71%
22-9
62%
21-13
TTL
61%
19-12
57%
20-15
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
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