NORTH FLORIDA
OSPREYSUNF
6-19 | Road
81
FLORIDA GULF COAST
EAGLESFGCU
10-15 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
OSPREYS
100%
EAGLES
0%
OSPREYS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-65.0
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +65.0 points (Florida Gulf Coast)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FGCU -65.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FGCU)
UNF By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNF By 8-14 points
0.0%
FGCU By 1-7 points
0.0%
FGCU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
North Florida
40
NORTH FLORIDA
Florida Gulf Coast
105
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Simulated Score
North Florida
72
NORTH FLORIDA
Florida Gulf Coast
75
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (-13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -65.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u163.5
Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
FGCU @ UNF
70 - 76
Feb 11, 2026
UNF @ FGCU
81 - 90
Feb 24, 2025
UNF @ FGCU
82 - 86
Feb 8, 2025
FGCU @ UNF
84 - 70
Feb 28, 2024
FGCU @ UNF
79 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+161.4% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 3.0
vs
North Florida: 1.1
Steals (L5)
+148.6% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 6.2
vs
North Florida: 2.5
Assists (L5)
+16.9% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 15.1
vs
North Florida: 12.9
Turnovers (L5)
+10.3% more
North Florida: 13.4
vs
Florida Gulf Coast: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNF Score
40.0
81
FGCU Score
105.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 40.8
38.0 / 33.0
Assists
15.1 / 12.9
13.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.0 / 1.1
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 46.1
55.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 78.2
53.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 34.7
39.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.2 / 2.5
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 13.4
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNF
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
FGCU
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNF
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
FGCU
9-22-1
(29.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +3.5
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FGCU
UNF
FGCU
UNF
ML
58%
19-14
69%
22-10
67%
22-11
66%
21-11
ATS
61%
20-13
69%
22-10
67%
22-11
66%
21-11
TTL
61%
20-13
66%
21-11
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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